Wk 12 Player Props & Locks (Not betting advice whatsoever. You should never listen to these idiots)

Welcome to the Fantasy Island Fantasy Football edition. That's right guys. It's gonna be our Vegas Locks edition. A new little spin on what we do here, and we're gonna give you guys a couple picks of the week that we think are locks here. We're gonna talk to our board of members, which is Bombo and Sweet Tea, myself, RW King.

We're gonna throw in a few games, talk about 'em up a little bit, and. Which side we're on, man. And you know, this is just for fun guys. You know, we don't really, you know, condone betting. Nobody here bets. You know, we have to say that, you know, we're obligated to say that. So this is just for fun guys.

There's nothing else. But you know what we're gonna talk about is we got three matchups this week, and the first matchup I'm gonna throw out at these guys is Cincinnati against Tennessee. They're playing in Tennessee. Tennessee's been a little bit hot. They're back to what Tennessee's. Tradeline Burkes flashed a little bit last week.

They got Bobby trees cooking over there and they got the king running the rock. Sot Hill is Whatt Hill is. They don't need little Malik running around back there no more. And now you got big bad since he coming in, who's really been playing pretty good the last couple weeks. Cincinnati's the favorite minus two bombo.

I'm gonna throw it to you first. If you were betting with your hypothetical million dollars, Who would you put that million dollars on? Cincinnati minus two or Tennessee, the home dog. Getting to who's your pick? Bombo and why?

Well, if I was gonna put my currency, oh. So when I bet I'm betting for pushups, so just letting everybody know we're, we're playing for pushups. I'd put it on Tennessee. If you really look at it right now, Tennessee is winning a lot of football games and I think they're starting to get into their own in the passing game.

Cincinnati could possibly be without mixing, and they're definitely gonna be without Jamar Chase. So I know we spoke about it on an earlier segment. It might just be the t Higgins show. I don't really think, I don't really see Perine doing much on the ground against this Tennessee. Tennessee has a really strong front for, and Tennessee does a good job of stopping running backs.

I got Tennessee at home in the upset. I'd say Tennessee's got 'em by 10 points.

I, I like Tennessee, man. Tennessee's the player, smash my shit, you know what I mean? And they're doing what they do. It's gonna be cold as hell, you know what I mean? I just, it's their weather. the rock, give it to the king tee. Who do you like since Tennessee? Since E minus.

All right, so I'm gonna buck what Bombo just said, and I like since on this one, only because you got Jamar Chase coming back. They already came out and said that he's expected to play. You know, you got guys like Tyler Boyd that's been stepping up. You got t Higgins over there and that, that offensive line, it sucked balls in the beginning of the year.

It's starting to finally click and come together. So now you're giving Burrow a little bit more time to throw the ball. Yeah. You got no, no mix in there. But that's okay. Piran, he's already showing that he can do so. It's not like the cupboards bear over there right now for them. So I really do like Sensei in this one, Tennessee, no slouch, but I just don't trust Tanna Hill.

I don't think he can have another baller game, like what he had last week, two weeks in a row. Nah, nah. I just don't trust it. So I'm not filling it. I'm taking Sensei.

You know, I, I think it's just, it's, you know, I think this is the time of year Tennessee shines, know, and I think that, you know, I love me a home dog, you know, obviously I've never bet in my life, so I really don't know what that means. I read it in. I love me home dogs all the time. And you know, I think I'm gonna go with Bombo here and I, I like me some Tennessee.

I mean, I like both arguments and you guys are good. But you know, I think Tennessee's gonna pull it out, man. And you know, I think it's gonna be a tough game. And it's always cold as hell in Tennessee. Sometimes it doesn't snow, but it's just cold as hell. And Jamar chases hip dude. I mean, yeah, he might be back running around and running pretty good, but let him get hit on that and hit a cold floor that shit ain't gonna feel good. So, all right, man, we got another pick coming up for you. And the next one we got is Denver at Carolina. Denver coming off a bad loss, but you know what, man? They were right there in the game. Their offense has been looking better the last couple weeks.

They seem to be moving the ball. They'd, like Bombo said, they gave Melvin Gordon the Uber. He's out of there, so they're gonna move forward there in the running game. Let Russ cook a little. Seems like maybe they're getting the offense down. Carolina's starting Sam Darnell Carolina's a mess tanking for whatever quarterback they can get there and they're gonna draft the best quarterback available.

They don't wanna win anymore. So who do you like there? Denver's favored by two and a half. Let's throw at you first Tee. Who do you like there? Denver, Russell Wilson, minus two and a half at Carolina. Or the Sam Darn. Led Carolina.

Gimme Sam Arnold, and I didn't think I'd be saying something like this, but this guy knows that offense. This guy's got maybe two or three good games in him for the whole season. He hasn't played it all this season. He's gonna be full of emotion. He's gonna be pumped. Give me a Sam Donald Carolina team.

Denver's not that great. They traded away their best asset on defense. You know, yes, that offense is moving the ball a little bit better, but I expect Carolina to be a lot more effective with Sam Donald, who knows that offense better than any of the other quarterbacks. So I really think it's gonna be Sam Darn, and that Carolina Panther's offense just kind of getting it done.

They're gonna find a way cuz that Carolina defense is legit. Those guys keep them in games. So that's something to be said too.

All right. What do you think of that, about that Bombo, same one to you. Denver minus two and a half at Carolina. Who you got buddy?

Give me Broncos in the 2.5. I think they're, it's already gonna be a low scoring game. Vegas has the over under at 34 and a half. I just think right. , it's two teams coming off of bad losses, playing bad football with question marks at the quarterback position, whether it be who's gonna play or if the person that's playing is gonna never show up.

But I just want to, I'm gonna go with Denver just because they're making the right adjustments. I think we recently heard that hack it isn't gonna be calling the offensive plays anymore and Yeah. So maybe that maybe.

took him for to be 11 weeks.

Yeah, maybe, maybe that's the punch in the nose that they're gonna, that they're gonna need.

And I just, you know, like we've, we've talked about this team endlessly throughout the year. I just am gonna cash in on the talent there. I think that the talent, the talent is in Denver, if they can just get it together against a bad team. I just like them in this situation. I don't like them going forward, but I definitely like them in this situation.

Probably see a nice, a nice game outta su. With Judy probably on the shelf and, and them really being limited in the running game with some

Okay. Talking about that then, right? Like you said, they're gonna be a little limited in the running game. So we're gonna throw a little, another one at you Bombo. A little side one here. Courtesy of Draft Kings, the over and under for Russell Wilson courtesy of Draft Kings is the Draft Kings Line is 219.5 yards.

Is he gonna go over or under that?

Russ is gonna be under that.

Under two 19 and a half. But you still think like Corland sudden will get enough to have a pretty good.

Yeah, I think against Carolina, if he targets. Just one guy, he can get some production. I mean, we have to look at the 34 and a half points that Vegas has given him. So they don't expect this to be a high scoring game either way.

So just a couple of touchdowns, maybe not a lot of yards. I think that there's gonna be a lot of three and outs in this game. But the big plays would probably come from Rush. I, I still have faith that Russ has some of that still in him. Over. Darn. Cuz this is, this is, when's the last time we seen. And I, and I

Hey, this is the Russell Wilson versus Sam Donald

you're right.

So I, I'm, I mean, to me that's, that's sort of how I had to look at it. and to be honest right, is Russell Wilson, like you said, what we were talking, you know, a little bit off on, on, you know, off the air what Russell Wilson's like ranked 21 or something.

T isn't that what you said?

Yeah, he is 21.

Yeah. So at that point, you know what I mean, he's 21. I mean Sam Donalds is good as shot. All right. So I mean, I mean to me, I look at this match up and I think Carolina's got a shot to win. I don't think they want.

Yeah.

I don't think they're gonna go out there with their mindset like, we really want this game. I don't, I think the players do, but the coaching staff and the management probably not.

Cause I still think they're looking for the best pick possible. But, you know, I, I think that's what they're looking for. But Sam Donald's probably the best quarterback in their room, you know, and that, and that's not saying much, but he could throw a lot deeper than Baker Mayfield. And you got DJ Moore and Terrence Marshall.

So you got guys that can run under the, So I, I'm gonna go ahead and I'm gonna,

'em.

I'm gonna take the two and a half points, man, and I'm gonna take the home dog again with Carolina I'm gonna throw another one out for all of us. Now, you know, really quick guys, just a quick yes or no, but the over and under on Sam Donald is courtesy of Draft Kings is 182.5, passing yards.

Is he over and under Sweet Tea 182.5 yards over, or. Bombo, Sam Donald, 182.5 yards courtesy of Draft Kings over or under.

Yeah, I'm gonna go with the under first. Game back. We haven't seen him. We

I'm gonna go with the over Sam Donald. I'm gonna have more passing yards than Russell Wilson in the game on this weekend. I'm just saying. Just saying. All right, man. That's gonna bring us to our last game. We're gonna talk about. And in this game we're gonna talk about a Turkey day game. We had to bring one in and you know, the two teams that really are, you know, let's just say the main stays on Turkey Day guy, we had to bring one of those games in and that Al's Cowboys and the Detroit Lions, and we all know how that happened back in the day, they were the only two teams that stepped up back when the NFL was a baby.

And they said, you know what, we'll have teams on games on Thanksgiving and nobody else would. when this thing turned into a monster and Thanksgiving turned into such a high profile game these guys were making so much money, all the other teams wanted in the league said, Nope. We're keeping it with them.

And they put a game at night. So we actually get three games now. I love it, but I'm just saying, our next game guys, Bombo, it's coming at you. Should be. Sounds like it's easy. Buffalo back in Detroit cuz they had to play in Detroit last week cuz there's. Globe fucking stadium. Eight and a half. Favorite over Detroit Buffalo minus eight and a half over Detroit, who do like bomb.

I'm not gonna overthink this one. Buffalo is in a perfect spot for a get right game. Have it being on national television. The last time we saw Buffalo with a dominant win was week one against the Rams on national tv. And think about it, Buffalo for being such a offensive juggernaut with a star like Josh Allen.

Especially us over here on the West coast, we don't see too much of Buffalo. I mean, if you have Red Zone or something like that, or you have Sunday ticket, you're seeing Buffalo Games, but not on our, you know, on our channel twos and sevens and elevens, we're not seeing any of that.

So I think this is a good spot for them to come in. And I got Buffalo blowing Detroit out. Don't gimme 8.5 that got them, beaten them by at least two and a half, two touchdowns in a field goal. So gimme buffalo all day in a spot on national TV showing everybody exactly what they are and why they should be favored to be in the AFC Championship game again against Kansas City.

Hey, pretty convincing. T who do you like? Buffalo minus eight and a half at Detroit Turkey Day opener. Sweet Tea.

Gimme Detroit all day long. Detroit has won some big games. They've have tons of confidence on that team. Now both teams are secondary, is sus right? And so we already know what it is with Detroit. We know that they're gonna let up a lot of. , but buffalo lets up a lot of points too, guys, they're secondary is weak because they got some hurt dogs on the back end.

So I really like what Detroit has done the last several weeks and that confidence level is just rising over there. So I gotta say, gimme some Detroit all day long. They keep these games close, they play hard for their coach.

I agree man, and I like Detroit and I think that and I'm gonna say this Buffalo definitely by far is the better. A hundred percent, I think that the shit going on at home, they didn't really leave till the day before the game because they couldn't even get all their players to a, a location where they could drive out of their neighborhoods.

It was crazy. I, they had one player who video recorded some stuff on his neighborhood showing the maze that his neighbors dug outta the street. So we can get to a spot to get into a van on a. I mean the whole street was just like six, seven feet of snow. So I mean it was taxing on these guys and they had to go home and now they're gonna leave again and be away from their families on Thanksgiving, cuz I don't think a lot of their families traveled with them cuz probably this shit going on at home.

So I think that might wear on them. I got Detroit sort of covering backdoor cover, a late touchdown probably. I think they're probably right on Bombay's number at 14 or 15. And then Detroit sneaks in a last minute touchdown. That's what's gonna ruin Bombays. It'll call there, but I think that's what'll do it.

You know? That's what I'm calling on my goble gobble Thanksgiving day. Give me all the home dogs that we picked. You know, just a little recap, since he in Tennessee, you know, the guys, you know, they were split on that. I think one of 'em had Tennessee, one of 'em had sensei. You know, I took Tennessee as.

Buffalo and Detroit. Me and Tea with Detroit. Bombo says it's a blowout with Buffalo. Put your million dollars on Buffalo and Denver and Carolina. Well, I just threw my shit out there with Carolina again and I even put Sam Donald over his total to make sure that he got it. So we talked about some of our players earlier in our segments of, you know, sit your ass on the bench.

So we're also gonna talk about, you know, hey, some bedding, props on those. One of the guys we talked about was Saquon Barkley. So guys, what I'm gonna do is I'm gonna throw out a little question to you. Courtesy of Draft Kings, his over and under total for this week's game, Mon his over and under total for this game.

Thanksgiving Day game 72 and a half yards over under 72 and a half yards for, for say, qu Barkley. Sweet.

Oh, over for sure.

Bombo 72 and a half yards for Saquon bark.

I'm gonna go under, I think this is the start of Saquon's cold streak, if you will, and then he'll pick it back up. But it's a really tough defense. It's a tough game. Short turnaround. He's coming off of a stinker as well. He, he can possibly get some touchdowns, but this isn't a touchdown. I think total yardage, he's just, I think Dallas is gonna limit the amount that he produces on the ground when he gets fed.

Give me under the 72 yard,

I agree, man. I think that every, the teams are just realizing if you shut him down, the chances of New York hurting you offensively just isn't there, you know? And I think that it's gonna get more and more prevalent that teams load the box up against these guys and really make it hard for him to run.

I'll take the under on that all day. You know, we talked about another guy on one of our earlier segments about Tony Pollard. His over and under total is 60.5 yards, six 0.5 yards rushing Bombo over and under 60.5 for Tony Pollard versus the Giants on Thanksgiving Day.

Let's factor in Zeke, right? So the, you have a running back that's already got a bad knee. The last thing you wanna do is give him more, carries on a short turnaround on a short week. Give me more carries for Pollard and give me the over on that one. I think Pollard breaks a hundred and possibly 50, close to another a hundred receiving if they do it right, it's a good, it's a good game frame.

Good.

To you, what do you think? Over under 60 point?

Well, I got the over two, but I'm not as crazy as Bombo. I'm not gonna say he's gonna do a hundred and a hundred, but he will definitely go for at least a hundred on the ground. I mean, this guy just balls out. So yeah, gimme that over.

Yeah, I, I agree. But guys, I just think that this guy, even with fucking eight or nine touches, he'll be over that, cuz I think he's gonna have a 20 or 30 yard burst. Okay, last one we're gonna talk about for our Thanksgiving day, Devon Single. And this guy's been coming on. He had a decent game last week, you know what I mean?

He had won the week before. They seemed to feature their running game last week because the offense wasn't really clicking. And I sort of think they're gonna do that again myself, but I'm gonna throw it at you guys. 57.5 yards over or under Bombo 57 and a half. Devin Singletary over.

Give me the under on the 57 and a half for Devon Singletary, but that's because I think they're gonna get Hez and cook more involved in this matchup. And we're gonna see the Buffalo bills have a great rushing attack, but it's just gonna be spread out amongst multiple heads.

T over or under 57 and a half Dev Singletary.

I'm gonna take the under, but not for the reason that Bombo just called out for me. It's just the fact that I don't see them doing that. These guys aren't a running team outside of Josh Allen, and until I can see some consistency in that run game, I'm just not buying it right now.

Oh, both you guys are on this, right? Look, I like me some. Deb and Singletary. I think he's very talented. I think if he gets the opportunities he can produce, I'm gonna take the. And what that does is that goes ahead and throws in my third piece of King's Stone Cold three. Team Parlay Lock. For your Thanksgiving day folks, we're gonna take Saquon Barkley under 72 and a half to Tony Pollard.

Over 60 and a half to Devin Singletary over 57 and a half. What do you think about that guys?

That's good money

I'm not on

but imagine that's good imaginary money. Hmm.

on, Doug. Why aren't you on my picks? T

because I just said I got single Terry at the under and you, you just threw him as the over No, I'm not on it. I can't, I can't until I see consistency. I don't trust buffalo's.

Okay, we're gonna throw out a couple receivers now, guys, just for our Thanksgiving Day listeners, in case they wanna put a little bit more fictitious action on some player props. But these are some of the stud wide receivers that are playing on Thanksgiving Day, and this is gonna wrap up our segment. but we're gonna start it off with some big names, guys.

Jj, Justin Jefferson, 85.5 yards courtesy of fan du against New England Bombo over under 85.5

I'm gonna go over, I think Justin Jefferson should not ever have two stinker games in a row, even if that means Kurt cousin has to probably throw a couple of picks forcing the ball to him. And we've seen before Justin Jefferson can catch the uncatchable. I think they're gonna try to get him going. T mentioned in an earlier That's one guy that they always make sure they get into a rhythm.

He's, he's always got like the first three or four gay three or he always has the first three or four plays scripted for him in order to get into that rhythm. I think I have him going over a hundred. So yeah, gimme the over.

T over or under 85.5.

killing me. Bombo. You're fucking killing me cuz you're using me as an example. I'm gonna go ahead and I'm gonna go against you and I'm gonna say the under, but I'm gonna say the under for two reasons right now. Real quick, a. One Belichick, he's going up against New England and Belichick is gonna take away your number one weapon.

He always does and he's gonna force cousins to try to beat him some other way and that ain't gonna happen. The other reason is he's got the turf toe. He's already kind of banged up. He's not running that great right now in practice. So I gotta take the under this week unfortunately, cuz I love me some Justin.

Jeff.

Yeah, I think I'm with you. T I think I'm gonna take the under on Justin Jefferson as well. Same sort of thing, you know, do you sorta, you know, hit the nail on the head bow times and you talked about it and you know, I think Bill Belichick is just great at that and I think he's gonna throw two or three guys.

And he is just gonna make it so that hey, this guy can't beat him. And he might get his, but I think you know he is gonna be under that yardage total. Okay, another Thanksgiving Day stud CD Lamb, 75.5, CD Lamb 79.5, courtesy of Fan fandule over or under Sweet Tea cd, lamb, 79.5 receiving.

Give the over. I'm taking the over because of Dak. Since Daks been back, this has been the number one offense in scoring in yards in everything. Right now, Dak is having a ball out type of season since he came back and CD lamb has been feasting off of this, so I gotta take CDM on this one. There.

Bombo, 79.5 yards receiving. Lamb over or under.

Give me the over for, pretty much the same thing that t said. The offense is clicking right now and I just think that the game is at home in Jerry's. On Thanksgiving, he wants the stars to shine. He wants the big star to shine the brightest Think CD Lamb's the biggest star on the team and definitely will make Dak look good because they want that dak to CD lamb to be a thing.

We wanna see that be a thing. It has been a successful connection in multiple games. We just wanna see a larger sample size of it consistently, and I think there's no better showcase for that than a Thanksgiving game. Gimme cd a in, I would say probably the best stat line of the day in all games.

I can, I can see CD lamb getting like a long teddy, you know, a 50 yard plus Teddy on Thanksgiving Day, you know? Maybe even early in the game to set the tone. So I'm taking the over with you guys. I think that Daks really been doing well. I think the, the, I think the reemergence or the health of Michael Gallup and being available and playing on the other side is really helping CD lamb.

I think they need some other guys, Noah Brown and these guys to really step up a little bit to take the heat off of him. But he'll get enough open looks, I think, to get over that number. This. CD Lamb over 79 and a half yards. All right, guys. The last one we're gonna talk about is there were obviously other guys, we could have looked at 'em, we spoke about 'em, you know, Steon de Aman Raw.

But I think this guy is really intriguing, guys. And this is a guy that's sort of weird. And I'm gonna, we're gonna throw 'em out now at you guys. T you're gonna go first. This is the line courtesy of Fano Over or. 61 and a half yards. Gabe Davis.

Oh, I'm gonna go ahead and take the over that. That's, that's kind of an easy one for me because I think he's gonna have just one play, one catch and it's gonna be a bomber. So yeah, I would, I wouldn't doubt that at least, I mean, the safe bet would say the under, because he really hasn't done much over the past couple of weeks, but against. I think that since they have the worst secondary in the league, he's gonna get that one catch and he's gonna be taking it to the house for like 90 something yards.

And Bombo over under 61 and a half yards.

I'm gonna go with the under, just for what we spoke about earlier in the Devon Singletary portion of this segment. I think they're going to run the ball a lot. Just a, a really good get right game. You don't want, I think that Josh Allen is still dealing with a little bit of tenderness in that, in that elbow and just alleviate, right now it's, it's, it's buffalo's chance to establish a ground game similar to what I was talking about in another segment with Kansas City.

You really wanna show you a really well balanced team. The best way to do that is to go against a really bad defense. Detroit is a historically bad defense. I just think we're not gonna see a huge fantasy day out of some of. Buffalo Bills that we're used to seeing. Maybe Stefan digs because he always will get his, but I think it's just gonna be a real balance attack and a blowout.

So gimme the under.

I, I sort of like the over, just cause the fact that he in one shot, he can get. 50 yards. He's just like, you know, one dip. You know what I mean? But his lack of targets is concerning there. So I think they hit the nail on the head with the number, but I'm gonna take the shot and go the over there guys. But you know, this is a little bit new for us and we just wanna throw it out that, you know, we're gonna get better at this guys, and we're gonna tweak this a little bit and everyone's gonna have a little bit more input.

But we just wanted to put some different spin out there and that's really gonna close us up. You know, we're gonna go around with some closing arguments in a. You know, but I think the one thing that we wanted to make sure is that we're trying new things for you guys and our listeners out there. And you know, basically, by the way, we got our show set up.

Now you're telling us what you like and what you don't like and we'll try to keep improving on you. So we're gonna ahead and close it up with some closing thoughts. Sweet tea, closing thoughts.

Yeah, real quick, the the NFL's getting a little bit crazy. Guys. There's a lot of starting quarterbacks starting to get benched. They may not be guys that you're gonna be starting every single week. They're not guys that are gonna be lightening up your fantasy boards, but it's getting kind of crazy.

All of a sudden we're seeing running backs getting cut mid-season just outta nowhere. So it's really, really one of those types of things where you just gotta stay on top of your shit and you gotta be watching those waiver wires and you gotta be paying attention cuz if you don't guess what the guy next.

Guarantee he's gonna be doing that and he's gonna be succeeding. He's gonna be kicking your ass. So anyway, happy Thanksgiving to everybody and stay safe.

Bombo closing dots.

So in most leagues, the default trade deadline is this week. So I would say if your trade deadline's about to come up, go ahead and keep those trade lines open and try to make a deal. And this is around that time where you may have to take a loss on a deal, so you're gonna have to get crafty.

One of the things that I like to do is I'll just go and see who at. Make sure you're not playing that guy. You don't wanna play that guy and have the guy you're trading him come back and kick you in the ass. So you also wanna look for a guy that is on the cusp of the playoffs and he's probably hurting.

He's just one piece away. We talked about it earlier in another segment. He may be one piece away. You might have to throw a guy in to get somebody from him, and you can help each other out, but always be looking to get the better deal. Also, remember, you can't take these guys to the grave with you, so if you got studs on your bench that you don't ever, that you'll never see play, they'll never crack your lineup because you just have studs everywhere.

Go ahead and off get rid of some of those guys and fill your bench up with some quality handcuffs. Make sure you have all your guys hand. , it's that time of year. Like T said, happy Thanksgiving. We'll catch you next week.

Yeah, and I think for me, I think, you know, like I said, I'm gonna start out with my Thanksgiving and the thing I want to give thanks to is I wanna give thanks to Bombo. I wanna give thanks to Sweet Tea for making this show happen. You know, I wanna thank, you know all the listeners that we have. Those are the things I'm thankful for right now and my family and my health and my family's health.

And, you know, good looking out guys. And you know, we, we are trying to do the best for you and we're trying to keep things fresh for you. And we're not a professional outfit, but we're doing our best guys and just keep the feedback coming and we'll do the best we can. But for the double I Fantasy show, happy Thanksgiving, gobble, gobble.

We are out.